Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.119884 0.132596 0.145646 0.160017 0.175368 0.191247 0.208886
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.104443 0.124190 0.145471 0.169976 0.197282 0.226647 0.260480
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.092951 0.117780 0.145677 0.179020 0.217460 0.260072 0.310556
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080080 0.107773 0.140119 0.180099 0.227590 0.281624 0.347154
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067720 0.096707 0.131863 0.176711 0.231465 0.295235 0.374183
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062083 0.093145 0.131994 0.182821 0.246220 0.321395 0.415924
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.056589 0.089065 0.130897 0.186932 0.258218 0.344128 0.453670
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.051303 0.084650 0.128851 0.189408 0.267880 0.363879 0.487849
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046146 0.079855 0.125825 0.190203 0.275113 0.380475 0.518161
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045717 0.081710 0.131740 0.202822 0.297662 0.416422 0.572801
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042166 0.078608 0.130528 0.205665 0.307374 0.436194 0.607416
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039351 0.076341 0.130265 0.209630 0.318480 0.457757 0.644430
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035435 0.072216 0.127363 0.210188 0.325560 0.474960 0.677154
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034334 0.072558 0.131051 0.220181 0.345706 0.509619 0.732957
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033288 0.072884 0.134681 0.230156 0.366013 0.544814 0.789971
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030205 0.069404 0.132229 0.231081 0.373665 0.563241 0.825288
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026319 0.064080 0.126525 0.226885 0.373904 0.571643 0.847471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025179 0.063629 0.128489 0.234115 0.390333 0.601927 0.898716
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023667 0.062316 0.128938 0.238988 0.403412 0.627788 0.944339
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021925 0.060367 0.128191 0.241924 0.413673 0.649866 0.985100
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019993 0.057817 0.126252 0.242866 0.420956 0.667866 1.020515
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020509 0.060370 0.133143 0.257855 0.449068 0.714926 1.095464
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019139 0.058793 0.132759 0.261225 0.460029 0.738278 1.138580